The Background
Much of what I write here, and what I have written in "How
God Makes God" and "Lingo Sorcery", might appear to many
people to be a little weird. It combines biological theories and structures
with computer programming; business strategy and economics with probability
and game theory. It plunges into areas of scientific controversey and borders
into subject matter more usually associated with philosophy and metaphysic.
Even more confusing, all of this is spiced with elements of arcane theories
of mathematics and physics.
The reader might be forgiven for considering this to be the sad ravings
of a very scary sort of deranged person.
However, before you write it off entirely, you might like to know some of
the background which may offer some sort of explanation and perhaps even
provide a little credence.
I had been very lucky, a freak chance in education brought me to the cutting
edge of all the emerging technologies of the late twentieth century before
most people had even heard of them. Electronics, systems theory, computers,
game theory, servo mechanisms and automatic control, etc., were taught to
me by scientists in a special college which had been set up in the middle
of a UK government research center during the late 1950's.
Instead of using this educational advantage to map out a successful career,
I dropped out of the conventional world to experiment with an independent
existence as an entrepreneur. I reasoned that with my education and training
I ought to be able to learn how to make my own money (it seemed a rational
supposition at the time).
If I had taken a normal educational route, I might have approached money
making in a conventional way and seen the goal of making money as the possession
of large sums of it. As it happened, my aims were more abstract and far
less focused.
Receiving an education from scientists, as opposed to educational lecturers,
had given me an enthusiasm for unraveling mysteries, thus, it was the technicalities
and the theory of wealth creation which were the main attraction for me.
The possession of vast wealth seemed no more than a "hoped for"
possible outcome.
Noting that few successful entrepreneurs had started out by being trained
as professional managers, accountants, lawyers or financiers, I figured
that there must be other key elements involved which weren't being taught.
What were they? How do you begin life as an entrepreneur if you aren't taught
how to be one? It was an intriguing puzzle, which launched me into a strange
new world of exotic businesses.
After several years of see-sawing fortunes, in an exciting roller coaster
life, I seemed to have been getting nowhere with any general theory of wealth
creation. Certainly, I had made and lost plenty of money, but, it had all
seemed to be from opportunistic adventuring rather than strategic planning.
There were no overall concepts developing. Most of the ventures had involved
a certain amount of technical skill, planning and organization, but, the
feeling that I "knew" how to make money, just wasn't there.
During one of my frequent 'back to square one' periods, I decided to study
marketing to see if that would throw any light on the problem. Three months
of intensive reading at the Holborn library in London, which specializes
in books on marketing, provided me with a new role game to play: as a marketing
consultant. This career move stopped at the first consultancy when I became
involved in the writing of a correspondence course on investment.
In writing the correspondence course, I used a games theory approach. To
my great disappointment, one of the main requirements of the optimum strategy
for investment turned out to be one of preserving capital. With such a specification,
investments are spread to safeguard against any serious loss; this effectively
also eliminates any possibility for spectacular gains.
Although I didn't get any direct benefit from this investment knowledge,
the insight it gave me into the underlying mathematics of financial decision
making turned out to be invaluable. Also, it brought to my attention the
work of John Maynard Keynes, in the context of general economic theory.
Having spent an intensive year, sitting down in a smoke filled room in the
City of London to write the correspondence course, I felt the need for a
dramatic change in life style. I got it, when, in 1970, I discovered the
hippie market in Kensington High Street, London.
Even with my experience of different life styles this was something I had
never come across before. Not only was this hippie lifestyle fun, it was
generating wealth. The hippie colonies, centered around Kensington Market,
were not just idling life away in a drug induced state of euphoria, these
people were making serious money from real industry and effort.
In this hippie market, even the casual employees, working in the small cramped
upstairs trading units, were earning more money per week than most young
engineers. Something was happening there and I wanted to be part of it and
find out what was the secret of this wealth creation.
If the wealth creation strategy which I uncovered had remained a theoretical
concept it would have been of little consequence. The significance came
from the fact that the ensuing theoretical framework helped me to build
a fairly successful business using a predetermined strategy.
Starting out with a tiny stall, on the top floor of Kensington Market, within
two years I had shops and trading units all over London and had more money
than I had ever seen in my life before. The details of the business are
secondary, what was important was that it had all been built upon a theoretical
foundation and strategy which had been planned - and by a hippie who was
enjoying himself.
After "discovering" this general strategy for creating wealth,
I started to observe the many other traders around me who were also making
money. What strategy were they using?
It was then I realized that the successful hippie culture was underpinned
by a variety of non hippie business people who were operating, almost transparently,
in the background. This transparent infrastructure was made up mainly from
Asian immigrants and Jewish business people. What role were they playing
in the game to make money?
As I observed the inconspicuous way the non hippie infra structure provided
the links and the oil which kept the hippie culture financially viable,
I couldn't help but be struck by the way in which the people involved seemed
to be adopting the same money making strategy which I had theorized to be
optimal.
However, there was one important difference. These successful entrepreneurs
weren't working to some carefully worked out conscious plan; these people
were acting instinctively. The successful strategies they were adopting
to create wealth was an unconscious, natural way for them to behave.
I might still have been puzzled by this anomaly today if I hadn't have made
a disastrous lifestyle experiment in Spain.
Imagine, having more money than you can spend, a luxury penthouse apartment
overlooking the Mediterranean, a business consisting of rents from forty
two little shops - yet feeling bored and miserable. Wouldn't you have thought
this would have provided the basis for an idyllic existence? Sadly, it didn't
for me.
As I lay on the beach one morning, reflecting upon the unexpected disappointment
of my lifestyle experiment, I began to think about what enjoyment in life
was really all about. It couldn't be material benefit, I had all of that.
All I could think of was that it must have something to do with what was
happenings in the brain: like neurons firing and stuff.
This thought set me on a search to find out how the brain works.
I skipped through various books on psychology and philosophies of the mind
but didn't seem to be getting very far until I began to look at the physical
structure of the brain and came across Jacque Monod's "Chance and Necessity".
"Chance and necessity" is not about the brain, it is about DNA
and the molecular theory of the genetic code. For me it was a revelation.
Here was a Nobel prize winner explaining the physical mechanisms which cause
life to come into existence in a way I could understand - in terms of feedback
and control mechanisms in which the human cell and its chromosomes are seen
as parts of a complex system of interacting components.
Having been convinced by Monod that the human cell consisted of mechanisms
which were potentially explainable, I began following all references to
the working of the human biological cell.
The next thing to strike me was an article I came across in Scientific American:
it was explaining some obscure points about molecular interactions. The
explained method involved modeling the structures of proteins on a computer.
It was the paradigm shift I needed.
If proteins could be modeled on a computer, their structure could be represented
as strings of binary code. Taking this paradigm just a little bit further,
the interactions of proteins and other chemical items in a cell could be
abstracted out and considered as operating upon each other in the same way
that the code of a computer language could act upon and process the data
in the memory space of a computer. Both could be represented as binary strings
and this, for me, was the key to understanding the mechanisms of molecular
biology. Two completely different types of system yet sharing a common abstraction.
At about this same time (1975-6) my attention was drawn to a new and controversial
publication: "Sociobiology" by O. E. Wilson. Here was the critical
piece of the jigsaw which linked all of my disparate observations and findings
together.
"Sociobiology" is a masterful and authoritative work which fully
explains the evolution of behavior patterns in terms of survival and reproduction
strategies. The evidence suggested that much of animal behavior is instinctive
and inherited and although the empirical data related to the animal world,
there were none too subtle hints that this could also be applied to humans.
Inherited patterns of behavior? To many influential educationalists this
was a heresy and the book was condemned by many as a wild speculation without
any credence.
For me, Wilson's argument, together with its supporting wealth of empirical
data, was overwhelmingly convincing. Its only weakness was that the actual
mechanism which provided the transmission of behavior from one generation
to another was missing. How is it possible to pass on behavior "genetically"
from one generation to another? Surely, behavior is passed culturally, as
a series of learned responses? Wilson's book never really addressed that
problem.
However, a bell had rung in my head. I'd seen behavior patterns in business
people which I'd been sure were unconscious. I had assumed they were a result
of social and cultural learning and conditioning. After reading Wilson's
book I began to wonder. Could a propensity to be good at business be an
inherited trait? The idea seemed too outrageous to warrant serious contemplation,
but, the seed was sown.
Weighing up Wilson's evidence for the evolution of behavior patterns and
my observations of strategic emotive decision making by business people,
I concluded that emotions might be involved in some kind of automatic control
of human behavior.
Although it made sense that behavior was to a large extent driven by emotions,
there needed to be some conclusive proof that such a mechanism could evolve.
A possible way to do this suggested itself when I realized that the business
people I'd observed were mainly from cultures with strong religious associations;
although the business people themselves may not necessarily have been religious,
their cultural influences could have been an important factor.
Checking out the rules of the respective religions, I found that they all
seemed to incorporate heuristic strategies which would be conducive to good
business ethics and practice. This raised the interesting possibility that
religions, which have survived and prospered to the present day, may have
owed their success to the survival advantage of their religious rules and
edicts.
Switching paradigms, it could therefore also be argued that the religions
which are prospering today are a result of an evolutionary process, where
the religions with the most effective rules gradually replaced religions
which had less effective rules.
In other words the evolving entity was not the religions themselves but
the sets of rules which religions abide by (which in game theory terms is
the evolution of an heuristic strategy).
This set a new train of thought. A set of rules evolving?
It was then that I came across J. H. Holland's work on genetic algorithms
and rule based classifier systems (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan). The
versatility of this technique allows sets of rules to be tested against
each other in a competitive environment.
The trick is to specify a whole range of rules and then state how strongly
each should be enforced. A zero weighting would indicate that a particular
rule was not to be applied; a positive value indicating the rule was to
be applied (with a strength proportional to the value); and a negative value
indicating that the opposite of the rule had to be applied.
Starting off with random values, it could be shown how optimum rules and
rule combinations could be selected for in the evolutionary progress of
a genetic algorithm and after a significant number of generations an optimum
set of rules would evolve.
The next conceptual jump was to associate the weightings given to the application
of rules with emotional pressures to apply those rules. Suddenly, I had
a model which demonstrated the mechanism by which emotionally driven behavior
patterns could evolve. How could I prove it?
I then retraced the steps I had taken to come to those conclusions. I remembered
that the starting position had been to create a strategy which would be
optimum for creating wealth.
I considered the conclusion I'd drawn, that the heuristic strategy had seemed
to work. I'd observed for myself that it really could result in an increase
in wealth within a community (remember wealth creation is a statistical
concept which applies to an aggregate and not necessarily specific to an
individual).
This, I thought, could provide the basis of a test scenario.
My next step was to create artificial software life forms which existed
as emotionally driven entities whose emotions would cause them to favor
specific types of behavior (obey certain rules). These entities were then
set to compete with each other in an artificial competitive environment.
Initially, the emotions of the life form entities were set to random values
(the life forms started out by not favoring any particular rules or behavior),
but, as the evolution progressed, emotions developed (in the life form entities)
which caused them to act optimally: to cooperate with each other and act
in ways which would be optimally efficient for their economic success in
the artificial scenario provided.
Not only did these simulations cause the life form entities to evolve the
correct mix of emotions to enable them to act optimally for survival, they
also developed much deeper emotions which could easily be interpreted as
ethics, altruism and most surprisingly of all - conscience.
This was an astounding result (which is fully explained in the CD-ROM "How
God Makes God").
I have noticed recently that there has been an increasing number of scientific
articles which seem to add support to these suppositions. However, even
if the connection between the software models and the real life working
of the brain may be considered somewhat tenuous, there is no doubt at all
that the underlying "emotional" software mechanisms described
can be used to provide a fuzzy control system which will give any software
object a capacity for learning and adapting.
The most exciting possibilities for the "emotional" control stuff
is in being able to provide COISes (client oriented intranet systems, also
known as Web buggies or client side bots) with virtual brains. Such "intelligent"
entities could have a wealth of applications on the Internet and is now
the subject of my current interest.
The conceptual frameworks developed in HGMG have also proved to be extremely
useful for looking at the Internet and the World Wide Web in different ways.
The analogies of the cell as a miniature computer and the genome as a CD-ROM
have great application for visualizing the potential of the Web for commercial
applications.
[Index]
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Peter Small August 1996
Email: peter@genps.demon.co.uk
Version 1.00
© Copyright 1996 Peter Small
No reproduction in whole or part without prior permission